Baseball
MLB Betting – The Pitcher’s Real Record
Last Updated (Thursday, 16 February 2012 20:50) Wednesday, 15 February 2012 00:36
Online betting sites list a lot of stats that can help MLB betting enthusiasts to make some money. But some of the more helpful stats you will have to dig for on websites or even try to keep track yourself. The serious MLB betting enthusiasts keep a wide range of stats that they use when betting. Betting baseball is like betting March Madness, the more you really know about the teams involved, the better your chance of making a profitable bet.
In MLB, the record you see for each pitcher is the wins and losses assigned to that pitcher based on a set of guidelines. While these stats can be helpful in determining a pitcher’s effectiveness, they are not always indicative of the real season he is having. For example, if a pitcher has a habit of getting pulled from a game because he consistently loads up the bases, he can still avoid being saddled with the loss and preserve his posted record. A pitcher who is 5-2 at the mid-point of the season may have been saved more than once by being yanked from games before he was part of the final decision. But that pitcher is still responsible for creating the runs that eventually beat his team. In reality, that pitcher may have a real record of 5-7, which would make him a bad bet.
When you do your MLB betting, see if you can find a site that follows the record a team has when a certain pitcher is in the game. If you cannot find those stats, then start keeping them for yourself. You may find that a pitcher with a winning record is not always the best bet. It is the pitchers that help their teams to win games that will help you to make a betting profit.
MLB Betting: Watching the Umpires
Last Updated (Thursday, 02 February 2012 20:08) Wednesday, 01 February 2012 00:30
Few on-field officials have more say in the outcome of a professional sporting event than MLB umpires. Online sportsbook experts take everything from the weather to the groundskeeper into account when it comes to betting on MLB baseball. That is especially true when it comes to the umpires and how they can affect the betting on over-under numbers for each game. The over-under bet is one that deals with the total number of runs in a game. Most MLB betting experts follow umpires and keep track of each umpire’s effect on the over-under. The results are pretty dramatic.
A MLB umpire does not affect Super Bowl betting, but he can have a huge effect on the outcome of a MLB contest. Betting websites have been collecting data on umpires for years, and the trends show that umpires with generous strike zones tend to have games that go over the run total and umpires with tight strike zones tend to officiate games that go under. The results are almost 60 percent on each side. That means that an umpire who is known to have a generous strike zone will 6 out of every 10 games he calls go over the run total. Those are pretty good odds.
A lot can go into these stats that can change them. If the MLB front office feels that an umpire’s strike zone is too wide or too tight, then the league may ask the umpire to adjust his zone. It does not happen often, but it does happen. Baseball is one of those games that relies almost solely on human judgment. There are no absolutes in baseball, but finding patterns like this can help you more when you place your next bet.
MLB Betting: Reverse Line Movements
Last Updated (Thursday, 19 January 2012 15:12) Wednesday, 18 January 2012 00:48
The smart sports betting enthusiasts know that reverse line movements in baseball often indicate that the favorite is not as solid as everyone originally thought. MLB betting lines are money lines and they can shift based on the action. The most common kind of movement is when the favorite’s line gets moved up instead of back. For example, if the Toronto Blue Jays are -150 over the Boston Red Sox, and the Jays get 70 percent of the action, then you would expect the line to move to -160 to try and offset the action.
With a reverse line movement, the price per head software moves the lines backwards instead of forwards. In the example mentioned earlier, the Jays’ line would move to -140 instead of -160. When you see a reverse line movement, it is usually for a very good reason. The starting pitcher for the Blue Jays may be injured and his ability to stay in the rotation may be affected. Something has happened to the Jays to cause the line to move in reverse despite the heavy action on Toronto.
When you see reverse line movement in baseball, that means that you should probably stay away from the favorite. It does not necessarily mean that you should bet on the underdog, but there is something about the game that the betting experts do not like and that has caused them to move the line in reverse even though the action on the favorite is heavy. When you see reverse line movement, you may want to avoid that game completely.
MLB Betting – Using Overnight Lines to Your Advantage
Last Updated (Thursday, 19 January 2012 15:14) Wednesday, 04 January 2012 00:47
Sports betting enthusiasts love to try and beat the odds. When it comes to betting on MLB games, most pay per head sportsbook bettors will wait until they see what the weather will be like and to check on any last-minute lineup changes before placing their bets. But if you look at the information that is available for almost every MLB game, you will start to understand the value of overnight lines.
Overnight lines in MLB betting are your chance to get in on the soft lines before anything changes when the action starts to hit the next day. Look at it like getting a great deal at a Black Friday sale before anyone else does. You got in there early, so you get to enjoy the benefits of thinking ahead.
Most bettors shy away from overnight lines because they don’t want to take the chance of making a bad bet. But some things can be pretty predictable in baseball. For example, you have an idea of what the weather will be 24 hours before a game thanks to fairly accurate weather forecasts. A betonline review of the lineups for each team will tell you who is batting and most teams announce starting pitchers a day or two in advance. You can make any adjustments to the batting order depending on the pitcher.
As you can see, you have all of the information you need to make a reliable overnight bet on a MLB game. Try it out a few times and see how it treats you. It may wind up being something that you do on a regular basis.
Tips for Betting a MLB Doubleheader
Last Updated (Thursday, 19 January 2012 15:15) Wednesday, 21 December 2011 01:00
There are reasons why the sports betting sites love doubleheaders in baseball. There are odds to play when betting a doubleheader that can give you an advantage. Since 2006, 48 percent of the doubleheaders played in MLB have been sweeps. But there is a system you can put into place that will increase your chances of placing a winning bet in a MLB doubleheader.
MLB is not very fond of doubleheaders. There was a time when doubleheaders dominated the MLB schedule and almost 50 percent of the schedule was doubleheaders. But today it is a rare occurrence that MLB is trying to do away with.
To find success betting on doubleheaders, there are a couple of tips you should take into account. If the Toronto Blue Jays are hosting the New York Yankees in a doubleheader but the Yankees are favored, then stay away from that doubleheader. Anytime the road team is favored, you stand a high chance of losing your money.
The price per head sports experts use a chase system to bet MLB doubleheaders. In a chase system you would place a bet on the home team to win the first game. If the home team wins, then you win and you are done. If the home team loses, then you double your bet on the home team for the second game. You could lose money, but if the home team wins the second game, which it does more often than not in a doubleheader, then you win for the day.
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